Nevil Speer

Nevil
C.
Speer
23 228 5

Nevil Speer has extensive experience and involvement with the livestock and food industry including various service and consultation projects spanning such issues as market competition, business and economic implications of agroterrorism, animal identification, assessment of price risk and market volatility on the producer segment, and usage of antibiotics in animal agriculture.
 
Dr. Speer writes about many aspects regarding agriculture and the food industry with regular contribution to BEEF and Feedstuffs.  He’s also written several influential industry white papers dealing with issues such as changing business dynamics in the beef complex, producer decision-making, and country-of-origin labeling.
 
He serves as a member of the Board of Directors for the National Institute for Animal Agriculture.
 
Dr. Speer holds both a PhD in Animal Science and a Master’s degree in Business Administration.

The views and opinions of the author expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the TMX Group Limited and Natural Gas Exchange Inc.

Articles
Will volatility smooth out as the 2016 cattle market comes into focus?
2016 is shaping up to be a very different year compared with 2014 or 2015. Will market volatility smooth out as leverage shifts from seller to buyer?
Beef quality grade matters
As quality grade increases, consumer happiness in our beef product goes up as well.
So, is beef demand really that important?
As beef demand improves, it drives stronger spending at the consumer level – and cattle prices follow in a positive direction.
Consumers continue to keep beef on their plates
Given the cattle market freefall in the last half of 2015, the question of beef demand and its importance in the market for fed and feeder cattle is important. So far, beef demand remains strong.
Volatility abounds in fed and feeder steer prices
Recent market volatility makes the decision to buy or sell cattle a real gut-wrencher. Here’s a look at how price swings have affected the fed and feeder cattle market.
Feedyard revenue reverses direction in 2015
Total feedyard revenue started strong in 2015, then unraveled in the second half of the year. How bad was it?
Out with the old, in with the new -- but will we ditch the market headache?
Lots of unknowns remain heading into 2016. Thus, volatility will likely remain with us for the foreseeable future.
Producer purchasing priorities
Cattle producers know what they want from the inputs they buy. They want it to work. But will they? Here’s a look at the numbers.
Herd expansion update: Is 2015 beef cow liquidation up or down? 5
Are cattle producers still in an expansion mindset? A look at beef cow slaughter numbers gives direction.
Are feedyards paying it forward or paying it back?
Feedyard losses in 2015 continue to outpace the relative difference in replacement feeder cattle costs for future closeouts. Will that change in 2016?
Do U.S. beef exports to Canada and Mexico matter?
What’s at stake in the COOL scuffle between the U.S. and its trading partners to the north and south?
Market volatility won’t subside anytime soon. Plan accordingly
Don’t expect the wild market swings of the past several months to subside anytime soon. Make your 2016 marketing plans with market volatility in mind.
Futures volatility causes hedgers, speculators to swap positions
Futures volatility has caused hedgers and speculators to swap positions in the market. Will volatility continue to cause changes in net positions?
Do trends in the cattle crush foretell the future for feeder cattle prices?
A large cattle crush is good news. What does the trend line foretell?
Feedyard vs. cow-calf inventory returns: Who fared best in 2015? 2
Differences in annual inventory returns between cow-calf and feedyard operations hit historic highs in 2014. We look like we will break that record again in 2015.
Comments
Beef demand vs. beef consumption: What’s the difference?
April 8, 2016

Dr. Tonsor, thank you for the clarification!

Herd expansion update: Is 2015 beef cow liquidation up or down?
January 1, 2016

Correct, there are fewer cows being harvested as a result of a smaller cow herd. However, what's represented above is the slaughter rate - hence, number of cows harvested as...

Feedyard vs. cow-calf inventory returns: Who fared best in 2015?
December 1, 2015

Dr. Odde:
Excellent observations - a cow/calf operation and a feedyard are indeed very different businesses - as such, there's some sense of comparing apples to oranges...

How long can cattle feeders fight the market?
October 14, 2015

Gross profit would equal revenue less cost-of-goods sold. in this instance, it reflects fed cattle revenue less purchased cost of feeder cattle. Net profit would then be...

Industry At A Glance: Branded Beef Sales
December 29, 2012

This is an excellent inquiry regarding the data. A couple of points of clarification might be helpful here. 1. The data is based on the comprehensive cutout detailing...

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